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Can Ohio State Turn a Heavyweight Rematch Into a Title?

Our preseason call at 285 favors proven wins over a spotless record, but a familiar Penn State threat complicates the path.

Picking a heavyweight champion means deciding which losses we can live with. Ohio State’s leading candidate has beaten AJ Ferrari twice, yet a sudden-victory loss to a returning challenger leaves a compelling rematch hanging over our prediction.

The strongest alternative

Konner Doucet Oklahoma State #2 at 285 · 22-5 · NCAA 4th place

Konner Doucet is our main threat. Oklahoma State’s heavyweight went 22-5 and finished 4th at the NCAA tournament. His 1-0 win over Christian Carroll offers evidence of tight-match execution, while a fall against Dayton Pitzer shows another way he can finish.

Doucet’s losses explain our hesitation. Yonger Bastida beat him 4-1, Isaac Trumble won 4-0 and Taye Ghadiali won 5-1. We like his tournament finish, but those results leave questions about whether he can generate enough offense against his toughest opponents.

The rematch that could change everything

Cole Mirasola Penn State #7 at 285 · 19-8

Cole Mirasola is our dark horse because his case includes a direct challenge to the favorite. Penn State’s heavyweight went 19-8, beat Nick Feldman 4-1 in sudden victory and defeated Ben Kueter 4-3. He has already demonstrated that this upset is within reach.

Mirasola’s losses make a title run harder to trust. Kueter also beat him 2-0 and 4-0, while Christian Carroll defeated him 9-6. We see enough in his best wins to envision a breakthrough, but those reversals keep our confidence measured.

Our title call

Nick Feldman Ohio State #1 at 285 · 25-7

Our prediction for the 2026-27 NCAA title at 285 is Nick Feldman. The Ohio State heavyweight went 25-7 and beat Ferrari 5-4 and 4-1 in sudden victory. Winning that matchup through different finishes gives us a stronger reason to back him than his preseason position alone.

Feldman’s losses to Mirasola, Ferrari and Juan Mora prevent an easy endorsement. Still, his 6-2 win over Kueter and 8-6 victory over Nathan Taylor broaden the case beyond Ferrari. We like Feldman to win the title because his victories show several paths through this field, even with a dangerous rematch potentially ahead.

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